Lake won 70% of Election Day votes statewide this year. A Fox News poll, conducted on November 2, put Lake ahead by 3 percentage points, with 51 percent compared to Hobbs' 48 percent. We're seeing great energy and momentum on the campaign trail, and our message of lower costs, protecting fundamental freedoms, and defending our democracy are resonating with Democrats, Republicans and independent voters. The six major factors are: The top three factors will play a key role of the above six factors. Reach reporter Stacey Barchenger at stacey.barchenger@arizonarepublic.com or 480-416-5669. 2022 Arizona Governor Exit Poll. Most Arizonans vote by mail, but you can also vote early in person without an excuse. It says this is a tightly-contested two-way race in which both candidates have 43% support. The2022 Arizona gubernatorial electionwill take place on November 8, 2022, between former news Anchor Kari Lake of the Republican Party and current Secretary of State, Katie Hobbs of the Democratic Party. In a ballot count update from Maricopa County on Saturday, which included ballots dropped off on election day, Lake won 52% and Hobbs won 48%. Arizona's election of a new governor is one of the most high-profile races in the country and one of the few left to be called. Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. Lake's rival in the race to win the governor's position, Arizona's Secretary of State Hobbs, worked as a social worker for many years. Election coverage: Live news updates | Arizona election results. PHOENIX - Arizona gubernatorial candidate Karrin Taylor Robson and U.S. Senate hopeful Jim Lamon are within single digits of the front-runners in their Republican primary races, according to. Lake and Hobbs are both hoping to replace outgoing GOP Governor Doug Ducey in a race that has become one of the most hotly contested seats across the country. Joe Bidens approval rating in the state is 41% while only 32% of the Arizonians are happy with the working of the incumbent Governor Doug Ducey. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. In September, 15 percent of Arizona voters said they were still undecided, would vote for another candidate or would not vote in the Senate race but that share was down to 9 percent in the new. 2023 FOX Television Stations, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 7:00 AM MST, Mazatzal Mountains, Pinal/Superstition Mountains, Southeast Gila County, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 11:00 AM MST, Upper Santa Cruz River and Altar Valleys including Nogales, Southeast Pinal County including Kearny/Mammoth/Oracle, Upper San Pedro River Valley including Sierra Vista/Benson, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 ft including Douglas/Wilcox, Upper Gila River and Aravaipa Valleys including Clifton/Safford, White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties including Hannagan Meadow, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains including Mount Graham, Chiricahua Mountains including Chiricahua National Monument, Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains including Bisbee/Canelo Hills/Madera Canyon, Santa Catalina and Rincon Mountains including Mount Lemmon/Summerhaven, from WED 2:00 PM MST until THU 11:00 AM MST, White Mountains, until THU 5:00 AM MST, Yavapai County Mountains, Yavapai County Valleys and Basins, until THU 11:00 AM MST, Grand Canyon Country, Coconino Plateau, Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau, Western Mogollon Rim, Eastern Mogollon Rim, Northern Gila County, Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons, Black Mesa Area, until THU 1:00 AM MST, Northwest Plateau, Northwest Deserts, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 5:00 AM MST, Dripping Springs, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 12:00 AM MST, New River Mesa, Rio Verde/Salt River, Superior, Tonto Basin, Mazatzal Mountains, Pinal/Superstition Mountains, San Carlos, Globe/Miami, Southeast Gila County, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 7:00 AM MST, New River Mesa, Mazatzal Mountains, Pinal/Superstition Mountains, Globe/Miami, Southeast Gila County, from WED 3:00 PM MST until WED 8:00 PM MST, Aguila Valley, Northwest Valley, Tonopah Desert, Gila Bend, Buckeye/Avondale, Cave Creek/New River, Deer Valley, Central Phoenix, North Phoenix/Glendale, Scottsdale/Paradise Valley, East Valley, Fountain Hills/East Mesa, South Mountain/Ahwatukee, Southeast Valley/Queen Creek, Northwest Pinal County, West Pinal County, Apache Junction/Gold Canyon, Sonoran Desert Natl Monument, from WED 11:00 AM MST until WED 8:00 PM MST, Parker Valley, Kofa, Yuma County, Central La Paz, Southeast Yuma County, Gila River Valley, from WED 2:00 PM MST until THU 5:00 AM MST, Upper San Pedro River Valley including Sierra Vista/Benson, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 ft including Douglas/Wilcox, Upper Gila River and Aravaipa Valleys including Clifton/Safford, from WED 2:00 PM MST until WED 11:00 PM MST, Western Pima County including Ajo/Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument, Tohono O'odham Nation including Sells, Upper Santa Cruz River and Altar Valleys including Nogales, Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail, South Central Pinal County including Eloy/Picacho Peak State Park, Southeast Pinal County including Kearny/Mammoth/Oracle, Baboquivari Mountains including Kitt Peak, from WED 5:00 PM MST until THU 11:00 AM MST, Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264, Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail, South Central Pinal County including Eloy/Picacho Peak State Park, until THU 2:00 PM MST, Lake Mead National Recreation Area, until WED 5:00 PM MST, Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County, Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County, Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County, Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264, from WED 12:26 PM MST until THU 11:00 AM MST, Marble and Glen Canyons, Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward, Chinle Valley, Arizona weather forecast: Winter storm brings more rain, snow, South Carolina kidnapping survivor Kara Robinson reveals tips for escaping abduction, Man's body found near I-10 on-ramp, DPS says, This week's 10-year fixed private student loan interest rates dip below 8 percent, Saddleback Church stands firmly behind female pastors after SBC expulsion, I didnt realize: Woman mistakenly eats heart-shaped chip that could have won her 100K, Arizona Republicans disavow wide-ranging bribery allegation, Watch: Fishermen spot sharks in huge feeding frenzy off Louisiana coast, 'Sodfather' says Super Bowl LVII field was overwatered, Worker rescued after falling off scaffolding at Phoenix construction site, Dramatic rescue of Australian hiker stranded in freezing Arizona mountains caught on video, Northern Arizona gears up for yet another winter storm, Shooting investigation underway in El Mirage. Ballot returns so far from both counties have generally favored Hobbs, who has maintained the lead since Tuesday, though Lake significantly narrowed that gap as day-of election votes were counted. 2022 Arizona Governor Exit Poll. Arizona's former GOP Attorney General Mark Brnovich is facing an investigation into "likely unethical behavior" after he withheld his own staff's findings that refuted claims of fraud in the 2020. Kari Lake is a highly polarizing candidate. As per the latest 2020 Census figures, Whites alone make up for 53% of the States population while Hispanics make up 32% of the States population. PHOENIX - A new FOX 10 InsiderAdvantage poll shows the race for Governor and U.S. Senate is coming down to the wire. It included 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.2%. Fortunately for her, she is performing very well amongst Hispanic voters. Social Media Sentiment: Kari Lake: -54%, Katie Hobbs -27.1%. Stunning testimony, thousands of documents previously sent to the prior governor in May of 2022 26 Feb 2023 05:28:56 Google Search Share: Kari Lake: 70%, Katie Hobbs: 30%. Libertarian, Marc Victor, is at 6%, with 6% still undecided. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Mario Tama/Getty Images Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. TUCKER CARLSON: Age is more than a number for Biden and for all of us, McMaster warns next two years could be 'dangerous period' for US-China-Taiwan during debut China Cmte hearing, Chicago ousts embattled Mayor Lori Lightfoot, as race heads to runoff without her, Wisconsin GOP likely to drop flat tax from budget. 2022 Governor Election Results > Arizona Arizona Governor Polls Gov. In Maricopa County, about 30% of voting locations had issues on Election Day, with ballots printed on-site not dark enough for tabulators to read. In Georgia, 604 likely voters were surveyed from Oct. 24 to Oct. 27. Lake spent 22 years as part of an anchor duo on Phoenix's Fox 10 station. Governor, Arizona, 2022 AVG. As of April 2022, the state has 4.29 Million Registered Voters. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided byRefinitiv Lipper. 0 Days. Libertarian candidate, Marc Victor, who dropped out of the race earlier this week is polling at around 2%. I strongly condemn this threatening behavior directed at Lake and her staff.". ( Natural News ) A law firm based in California has alleged, without yet offering conclusive evidence, that Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and several other election officials, judges, mayors, city councilmen, and county supervisors in the state received bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. November 11, 2022: Hobbs led with 50.4% of the vote to Lake's 49.6%. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. The poll has a margin of error of 3.09 percentage points. Last week, the same InsiderAdvantage poll showed Lake up by 11 points. Voters are electing candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's districts. Roughly 1 percent of voters said they were either undecided or had no opinion. Lake said in an appearance on Fox News' Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo she was confident she would win the race. Rob Schumacher / The Republic via Imagn, file, Katie Hobbs: 2022 midterms is a choice between sanity or chaos. Democrat Katie Hobbs held a slim lead over Republican challenger Kari Lake on Sunday asthe number of ballots left to count shrinks, making a path to victory for Lake more difficult. Republicans: Kari Lake 91%, Katie Hobbs: 9%, Democrats: Kari Lake 4%, Katie Hobbs: 95%, Independents: Kari Lake 45%, Katie Hobbs: 52%. How to Vote in Arizona's Upcoming 2022 Election Most Arizonans vote by mail, but you can also vote early in person without an excuse. A pivotal day of vote counting in Arizona on Saturday saw Democratic candidate for governor Katie Hobbs slightly widen her lead over her Republican opponent, though the race was still too close to call. She is a smart, well liked, and sensible person that would help with . Lake has maintained those ballots would swing heavily in her favor, but Saturday's bellwether update appeared to temper those claims. That woman, an insurance agent accused Arizona Gov. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. The race remained too close to call. This latest InsiderAdvantage poll was conducted on November 2, via land-line, cell phone and text. The gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, as part of the 2022 . Internal Republican polling shows a statistical tie between gubernatorial candidates Kari Lake, the former news anchor, and Karrin Taylor Robson, the former university regent and developer, but those numbers separate greatly when those polled were informed that Donald Trump backs Lake's candidacy. While Lake won the day in Maricopa County, her path to victory got a bit more difficult statewide as the number of votes left to count shrunk, said GOP pollsterPaul Bentz, of the Phoenix firm HighGround. Both candidates urged their supportersto stay patient as the vote counting continues, though Lake also has cast doubt on the length of the process and elections procedures. From the latest figures released by the Arizona Secretary of State. According to Breger, installed Democrat Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs, who was Secretary of State presiding over the gubernatorial election against Republican Kari Lake, has a long and demonstrable history of corruption that includes using Mexican cartel money to steal multiple state elections. A letter sent Friday from the governor's office to the State Bar of Arizona follows the disclosure on Wednesday of . As of Monday night, Hobbs. candidate Katie Hobbs CLOSED AT 1:00 . More voters with a degree are backing Katie Hobbs while Kari Lake is accepted highly among the voters with no college degree. Prior to Sunday's big ballot update in Maricopa County, Lake needed to win 56% of statewide ballots left outstanding. Hobbs, Arizona's secretary of state and a former lawmaker, now leads Kari Lake, the Republican nominee and former television news anchor, by more than 34,000 votes, such a slight change the race was still separated by1.4 percentage points. Katie Hobbs grows lead over Kari Lake in latest returns from Arizona governor's race. Regardless of party, at least a plurality of voters say they have already voted. Most of the voters with abortion as the main issue back Katie Hobbs. On Social media, her net rating is at -65%, and Katie Hobbs who has been pilloried by Kari Lake is at -56.9%. Update 11/8/22 2:21 a.m. It helped Hobbs slightly widen her lead, inching the gap between candidates to 1.6 percentage points, before Maricopa County's latest results tempered that. This could rise to 20% by the end of the election. 0 Days to Election (2016 to 2020) Polls Underestimated GOP by 0.5. If this is true, I can't believe the corruption in our elections. The state's Republican gubernatorial nominee is ahead of her Democrat rival, Katie Hobbs. 14% report they have not voted yet but plan to do so prior to Tuesday. 2023 www.azcentral.com. SNDL Stock Forecast 2023: Will SNDL Reach $3? Yet as the remaining number of ballots left to count dwindles, Lake's path to surpassing Hobbs' statewide advantage becomes more difficult though not impossible. Trump has publicly backed Lake, writing on Truth Social: "Arizona finally has a chance to have a GREAT Governor. In Maricopa County's latest report, Lakecarried 52% of those votes to Hobbs' 48%, enough to give Lake a boost but not close Hobbs' lead. Latinos make up the majority in Phoenix and Tucson as well as along the border. A judge in Arizona judge ruled that the state can enforce a near-total abortion ban after Roe vs Wade was overturned. avg. Arizona 2022 Governor. Hobbs has been ahead of Kari Lake in most of the polls released since the last week of September 2022. Katie Hobbs speaks at a campaign event at Cesar Chavez High School on November 2, 2022, in Phoenix, Arizona. ET: This article was updated with comment from Hobbs' campaign. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. In this field, Kari Lake has an advantage. She has made border security, election reform and a "tough love" homelessness policy central to her campaign. In 2022, the DEA nationwide seized over 50.6 million deadly fentanyl-laced fake prescription pills and over 10,000 pounds of fentanyl powder, half . Given the above trends, Kari Lake is well positioned to win the race by about 4-5 points. George Santos Under Scrutiny; CBS News App; Ukraine Crisis; COVID Pandemic; CBS News Live; Managing Your Money; Essentials Shopping; A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. The polls. New Poll Finds Nearly 70 Percent of Arizona GOP Voters Prefer Donald Trump or . This gives the Democratic a small bump of about 2%. Legal Statement. Overall, 29 of the 36 incumbent governors up in 2022 are eligible to seek reelection, including 16 Republicans, who also stand to benefit from an incumbency boost. Inflation is one of the major concerns and the Biden admin is in the line of fire for this. View latest 2022 election exit polls results, including by demographic information for US voters. Sep 04 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Oct 02 Oct 09 Oct 16 Oct 23 Oct 30 Nov 06 . In 2020, Republicans who typically voted early saw a boost among voters who cast ballots on Election Day, which helped Donald Trump close the gap on Joe Biden, who ultimately won the state by about 10,500 voters. Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and a slew of other election officials, mayors, judges, city councilman, and county supervisors in the state of receiving bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. 28% say they will vote in-person on Election Day. RT @Rasmussen_Poll: Arizona Senate Hearing on Thursday. Many political observers attribute that shift to voters showing up in person because of Trump's efforts casting doubt on elections before and after his ouster from the White House. Both candidates are performing worse than Biden and Trump both of who are not exactly popular at the moment. The governor's electoral race has been bitterly fought on both sides. Feb 25. Meanwhile, Lake suggested the crime had been staged. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Hobbs, 52, is Arizona's secretary of state and a former state lawmaker. Kari Lake has an advantage over this section of voters. 0:30 Update: Democrat Katie Hobbs has defeated Republican Kari Lake, becoming Arizona's next governor. Kari Lake walks to the podium at a campaign rally attended by former U.S. President Donald Trump at Legacy Sports USA on October 9, 2022 in Mesa, Arizona. MULN Stock Forecast 2023: Can MULN Rise Above $0.30? Alphabet (GOOG) Stock Forecast 2023: Will Google Recover Again? Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win the county since 1948, helping him win the state. Kari Lake is likely to win the 2022 Arizona Gubernatorial Election. Former Democratic president Barack Obama has thrown his support behind her, appearing with her at a rally in Phoenix on Wednesday. The Unfrozen Cave Election 2022 BOMBSHELL: Expert Witness Reveals Installed AZ Governor Katie Hobbs Laundered Cartel Money Through Fake Deeds and Mortgages to Rig Elections . Nearly 60% of the male voters in Arizona are backing Kari Lake while Katie Hobbs enjoys the support of more female voters as compared to Kari Lake. White and Hispanic voters are more likely to vote for Kari Lake while the Black voters are solidly behind Katie Hobbs. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? After the update, she needed to win more than 58%. . The Gateway Pundit reported that Tempe Police seized over 30 million lethal doses of fentanyl. More on the 2022 Midterm. By John Waller. The most up-to-date statistics were revealed by opinion poll analysis website FiveThirtyEight on November 4, which has been creating aggregate polls with data from various surveys. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Arizona races senate house governor sec. 1894 shipwreck found in Lake Huron, confirming "powerful, tragic story", Bipartisan Senate group unveils rail safety bill in response to Ohio derailment, What to know about Shigella bacteria as drug-resistant strain spreads. Her Democratic rival, Katie Hobbs, sits on 46.4 percent, before polling starts on Tuesday. Katie Hobbs reportedly requested the State Bar conduct an ethics review into former state Attorney General Mark Brnovich's for failing to debunk 2020 election fraud claims. Max McAdams. She ran a campaign for governor on pledges to defend democracy as she did following the 2020 election, receiving threats as a result and restore abortion rights after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade earlier this year. Kari Lake leads by 10-15% in the most critical Independent voter group. Lake, 53, is a former television news anchor who zoomed into the national spotlight and several Saturday Night Live sketches as she adhered to false claims of widespread election fraud championed by former President Donald Trump. Roughly 1% of voters are either undecided or have no opinion. Last March, GOP primary voters in Texas registered higher support for a pro-school choice ballot proposition (88%) than a pro-life one (83%). Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. ", Despite Lake's increasing popularity over the past few weeks, she has proved to be a controversial candidate after falsely claiming Trump was cheated out of the White House because the last election was "rigged" and "corrupt.". | Arizona Election results person that would help with voters say they have voted... Included 550 likely voters, with 6 % still undecided poll shows the race 02 09. Says this is a tightly-contested two-way race in which both candidates are performing worse than and. Either undecided or have no opinion three factors will play a key role of the above factors! In Phoenix, Arizona a choice between sanity or chaos amongst Hispanic voters race by about points... Libertarian candidate, Marc Victor, is Arizona 's Secretary of state and a former state lawmaker Underestimated by! Sensible person that would help with from Oct. 24 to Oct. 27 to Sunday 's big ballot update in County! 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